What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? And, what can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? This book shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty.
Categories:
Language:
Engleza
Publishing Date:
2008
Publisher:
Page Count:
400
ISBN-10:
0141034599
Original Title:
The Black Swan
Brand:
ISBN:
9780141034591
Dimensions: 300g
7000
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